As numerous supporters in the UK concentrate on their clubs' season-opening fortunes or debate upcoming fall test matches, the battle for World Cup 2027 qualifying rages on unabated.
Chile secured their second consecutive spot at the tournament with a stunning playoff victory against Samoa last month, leaving one remaining spot to be claimed for Australia by 2027. At the same time, Paraguay surprised Brazil 39-19 in the opening match of their playoff.
The return match takes place this Saturday in JacareÃ, close to São Paulo, while Brazil's men's team attempts to emulate their women's success and qualify for the first occasion.
Whether Paraguay completes a shock overall victory, or Brazil recovers following manager Emiliano Caffera's departure, the participants for November's Dubai qualification tournament will then be finalized. The Namibian team, the Belgian squad, and Samoa have already secured their places for the Middle Eastern showdown from 8-18 November.
Many additional nations have likewise earned their places. Hong Kong China achieved maiden World Cup entry following beating Korea by a large margin in July, while the Zimbabwean squad will return to the sport's premier tournament for the first time in over three decades after winning the African championship.
The knock-on effect of Chile's playoff success ensures that Los Condores will face Italy for the first occasion next month during the fall test series, replacing Samoa who are obligated to compete in Dubai.
The global governing body's CEO called Chile an "thrilling and fast-emerging force" in announcing the upcoming match in the Italian city. As local the sport promotional efforts aim for larger crowds, rugby in Chile is thriving. A sell-out audience of over 20,000 saw the qualifying win in the coastal city, and head coach the national coach has led the team on an upward trajectory since taking over in recent years.
The 50-year-old ex- Uruguayan forward has been influencing the game for many years: recruited by Bristol in the 1990s, he famously broke through the English defense to touch down at the 2003 global tournament.
His impact as national coach has been similarly powerful: Chile have climbed to seventeenth place, their highest-ever position. During the previous tournament in France, they were beaten in all matches, conceding 215 points and registering 27, featuring a heavy defeat to England.
However, they confidently took the positive aspects, and after the tournament draw in Australia on December 3rd, the coach can begin planning in earnest. They hosted the Scottish team previously, defeated by a significant margin in front of 24,000 supporters, and while they were defeated over both matches by Uruguay in the first 2027 playoff, they achieved a narrow win on the road in the Uruguayan capital.
Samoa, meanwhile, have not missed every World Cup since 1991, but are currently sitting in 16th place in the global rankings. They were without a victory in this year's Pacific Nations Cup, leading to qualifying disappointment versus Chile, and the need to face teams like Belgium adds further challenge for the proud rugby nation.
Apart from specific teams' fortunes, it is worth noting how different the expanded tournament will look in 2027. For the first time, there will be a round of 16 with six groups of four teams instead of four pools of five. Pool-stage jeopardy is much lower because the four best third-place teams will additionally qualify.
The organizers, Australia, are now placed seventh in the global rankings, which means they would fall short on a top seed and might meet either the Springboks, the All Blacks, Ireland, the French, England, or the Pumas in Pool A. They could rise into the top six during a packed autumn schedule, however: England, Italy, Ireland, and France are their opponents, with a game against Japan in the capital also scheduled for October 25th.
Wales, on the other hand, are teetering in 12th, with Japan below, and the consequences of falling to thirteenth and into pot three are possibly significant.
Another fresh aspect for 2027 is the presence of five nations from the Americas: the Argentine team, Uruguay, USA, Canada, and the Chilean squad – with either Paraguay or Brazil possibly making it six. From World Rugby's perspective, American interest is beneficial, especially with the 2031 tournament set to be staged by the USA, and the host selection for the 2035 edition was initiated recently.
For now, though. The second installment of Brazil v Paraguay sets up a four-way qualifying contest, along with a possible standings change throughout Europe in the coming month. Regardless of how things pan out, Chile's qualification for a second Rugby World Cup has undoubtedly established them as a clear success story.
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